Asia Pacific Visitor Forecasts 2017-2021

PATA corporate members: Complimentary
PATA members US$1,000
Chapter members US$1,500
Non-members US$2,000
Note: Corporate members include Allied Partner Level I, Aviation Level I, Aviation Level II (International Airport), Corporate, Government Level I, Premier Partner, Preferred Partner, Strategic Partner

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Description

The 2017 edition of PATA’s Asia Pacific Visitor Forecasts covers the period 2017 to 2021 and is available in two volumes, both of which continue with the recognition of international visitor flows (as distinct from tourist flows) so as to give greater consideration to the much wider impact of tourism and tourism-related industries across destinations in the Asia Pacific region.

In addition, and in order to take future uncertainties into account over the forecast period, a series of interval forecasts are given within which the baseline forecasts lie together with demand and price elasticities for select origin markets.

Key highlights of the 2017 edition covering 39 destinations include:

  • Aggregate annual growth in foreign arrivals into the Asia Pacific region in 2017 is expected to be in the order of 5.9%, reaching a combined inbound volume of more than 630 million
  • This adds an additional 35 million international visitor arrivals (IVAs) to the aggregate count in the process over the 595 million received in 2016
  • By the end of 2021 it is estimated that close to 758 million IVAs will be received annually across these Asia Pacific destinations, suggesting an average annual growth rate (AAGR) of five percent between 2016 and 2021
  • The AAGRs will vary considerably across each of the Asia Pacific regions, ranging from 2.6% for the Americas to around 3.1% for the Pacific and 5.8% for Asia
  • Within Asia, these same AAGRs will vary from a low of +3.4% for West Asia through +5.5% for Northeast Asia, 6.6% for Southeast Asia and 7.5% for South Asia
  • Intra-regional flows are very strong for the Americas and Asia, reaching 77.5% and close to 94% respectively in 2021. The Pacific is expected to see its intra-regional arrivals count drop to under 29% in 2021 with well over half of the IVAs in that year coming from Asia (57.5%)
  • Overall, the source markets of Asia will account for 67.9% of all IVAs into Asia Pacific in 2021, an increase of 3.7 percentage points of relative share since 2016

This publication is provided in two separate volumes at one single price.

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